000 FONT14 KNHC 210831 PWSAT4 HURRICANE DANNY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015 0900 UTC FRI AUG 21 2015 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANNY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) PONCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 5(15) PONCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) SAN JUAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 5(16) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 3(16) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 3(17) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 10(17) 2(19) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 11(21) 1(22) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 9(22) X(22) BARBUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 8(21) 1(22) ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) ANTIGUA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 6(20) 1(21) GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) 2(15) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 6(17) X(17) DOMINICA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) X(12) MARTINIQUE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) BARBADOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI