000 FONT14 KNHC 191432 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM DANNY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015 1500 UTC WED AUG 19 2015 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANNY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) PONCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) PONCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SAN JUAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) BARBUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) BARBUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) ANTIGUA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) GUADELOUPE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) AVES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) AVES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 16(21) DOMINICA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) DOMINICA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 14(19) MARTINIQUE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) MARTINIQUE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 12(17) SAINT LUCIA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) SAINT LUCIA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) SAINT VINCENT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) SAINT VINCENT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) BARBADOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 9(17) BARBADOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) BARBADOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) GRENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) TRINIDADTOBAGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) PORT OF SPAIN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) JUANGRIEGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN