000 FONT14 KNHC 240241 PWSAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014 0300 UTC SUN AUG 24 2014 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 16(21) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 13(19) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 12(19) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 10(18) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) MAYPORT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 5(15) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 4(17) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 3(15) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) 3(20) COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) 3(20) PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 10(18) 2(20) FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 9(18) 1(19) W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) 1(12) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) MARCO ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 18(22) 11(33) 3(36) GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) GRAND BAHAMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 8(13) 18(31) 4(35) 1(36) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ANDROS 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 7(11) 9(20) 2(22) X(22) ANDROS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GREAT EXUMA 34 1 6( 7) 12(19) 8(27) 6(33) 1(34) X(34) GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAN SALVADOR 34 4 43(47) 16(63) 6(69) 3(72) 1(73) X(73) SAN SALVADOR 50 X 8( 8) 9(17) 6(23) 3(26) X(26) X(26) SAN SALVADOR 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MAYAGUANA 34 21 3(24) 2(26) 3(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) GRAND TURK 34 1 X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) CAMAGUEY 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN