000 FONT14 KNHC 290252 PWSAT4 HURRICANE ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 32 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012 0300 UTC WED AUG 29 2012 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED X 1 14 40 66 87 94 TROP DEPRESSION X 6 45 40 34 13 6 TROPICAL STORM 55 74 38 21 1 X X HURRICANE 45 19 3 X X X X - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 42 16 3 X X X X HUR CAT 2 2 2 X X X X X HUR CAT 3 1 1 X X X X X HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 65KT 55KT 35KT 25KT 20KT 15KT 15KT II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT APALACHICOLA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 290N 850W 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PANAMA CITY FL 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MONTGOMERY AL 34 4 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PENSACOLA FL 34 11 3(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) GFMX 290N 870W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MOBILE AL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GULFPORT MS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GULFPORT MS 50 9 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) STENNIS SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) STENNIS SC 50 34 2(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) STENNIS SC 64 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BURAS LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BURAS LA 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BURAS LA 64 89 X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) GFMX 280N 890W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) JACKSON MS 34 18 14(32) 3(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 84 4(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) NEW ORLEANS LA 64 27 4(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) GFMX 280N 910W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 280N 910W 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BATON ROUGE LA 34 88 9(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) BATON ROUGE LA 50 24 35(59) 2(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) BATON ROUGE LA 64 2 9(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) NEW IBERIA LA 34 81 11(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) NEW IBERIA LA 50 8 25(33) 2(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) NEW IBERIA LA 64 1 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GFMX 280N 930W 34 12 5(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) SHREVEPORT LA 34 4 6(10) 5(15) 5(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 8 11(19) 2(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) GALVESTON TX 34 4 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) HOUSTON TX 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) FREEPORT TX 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GFMX 280N 950W 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER BROWN