000 FONT14 KNHC 270240 PWSAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042012 0300 UTC WED JUN 27 2012 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED 4 12 16 14 13 11 14 TROP DEPRESSION 63 52 46 34 25 21 25 TROPICAL STORM 33 34 36 47 52 54 49 HURRICANE 1 2 3 5 10 14 13 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 1 1 2 5 9 11 11 HUR CAT 2 X X X 1 1 2 1 HUR CAT 3 X X X X X 1 1 HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30KT 30KT 30KT 35KT 40KT 45KT 45KT II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) SAVANNAH GA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) MAYPORT NS 34 4 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) JACKSONVILLE 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) DAYTONA BEACH 34 11 8(19) 1(20) 1(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) ORLANDO FL 34 9 5(14) X(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) COCOA BEACH FL 34 4 7(11) 1(12) X(12) 1(13) 1(14) X(14) PATRICK AFB 34 4 7(11) 1(12) 1(13) X(13) 1(14) X(14) FT PIERCE FL 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) W PALM BEACH 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) TAMPA FL 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CEDAR KEY FL 34 9 X( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 3(13) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN