000 FONT14 KNHC 262058 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042012 2100 UTC TUE JUN 26 2012 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED 3 9 19 18 21 18 20 TROP DEPRESSION 59 47 44 33 29 24 21 TROPICAL STORM 37 42 35 44 44 49 46 HURRICANE 1 2 2 5 6 9 13 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 1 2 2 5 5 8 11 HUR CAT 2 X X X 1 1 1 1 HUR CAT 3 X X X X X X 1 HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30KT 30KT 30KT 35KT 35KT 40KT 45KT II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) CHARLESTON SC 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) AUGUSTA GA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAVANNAH GA 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MAYPORT NS 34 6 13(19) 4(23) 2(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) MAYPORT NS 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) JACKSONVILLE 34 7 12(19) 3(22) 1(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) JACKSONVILLE 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DAYTONA BEACH 34 19 17(36) 3(39) 2(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) DAYTONA BEACH 50 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ORLANDO FL 34 25 8(33) 1(34) 1(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) COCOA BEACH FL 34 10 11(21) 2(23) 1(24) 1(25) 1(26) X(26) PATRICK AFB 34 10 11(21) 2(23) 1(24) 1(25) 1(26) X(26) FT PIERCE FL 34 4 6(10) 2(12) 2(14) X(14) 1(15) X(15) W PALM BEACH 34 2 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) MIAMI FL 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MARCO ISLAND 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FT MYERS FL 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) VENICE FL 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) TAMPA FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CEDAR KEY FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ST MARKS FL 34 8 1( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) APALACHICOLA 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 290N 850W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) GRAND BAHAMA 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN