000 FONT14 KNHC 230259 PWSAT4 HURRICANE DOLLY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008 0300 UTC WED JUL 23 2008 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED X 1 19 X X X X TROP DEPRESSION 1 11 49 X X X X TROPICAL STORM 26 67 26 X X X X HURRICANE 74 21 6 X X X X - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 56 16 4 X X X X HUR CAT 2 15 4 1 X X X X HUR CAT 3 2 1 1 X X X X HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 80KT 50KT 30KT 0KT 0KT 0KT 0KT II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 280N 930W 34 4 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GALVESTON TX 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) HOUSTON TX 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) AUSTIN TX 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAN ANTONIO TX 34 3 4( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) FREEPORT TX 34 5 5(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) GFMX 280N 950W 34 14 5(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) PORT O CONNOR 34 13 9(22) 2(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) PORT O CONNOR 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CORPUS CHRISTI 34 26 16(42) 2(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) CORPUS CHRISTI 50 1 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CORPUS CHRISTI 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 270N 960W 34 64 4(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) GFMX 270N 960W 50 6 4(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) GFMX 270N 960W 64 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BROWNSVILLE TX 34 95 3(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) BROWNSVILLE TX 50 53 13(66) 1(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) BROWNSVILLE TX 64 23 12(35) 2(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) GFMX 250N 960W 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 250N 960W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 250N 960W 64 75 X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) LA PESCO MX 34 15 6(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) TAMPICO MX 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) TUXPAN MX 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN