000 FONT14 KNHC 301439 PWSAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MELISSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142007 1500 UTC SUN SEP 30 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MELISSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 32.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 167N 343W 34 5 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 12 167N 343W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 12 167N 343W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 177N 365W 34 X 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) 24 177N 365W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 177N 365W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 188N 389W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) 36 188N 389W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 188N 389W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 202N 408W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 48 202N 408W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 202N 408W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 72 235N 435W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 72 235N 435W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 235N 435W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 25 25 25 20 20 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BROWN