000 FONT14 KNHC 282023 PWSAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142007 2100 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 27.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 144N 277W 34 15 9(24) 1(25) X(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) 12 144N 277W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 12 144N 277W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 150N 290W 34 2 19(21) 7(28) 2(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) 24 150N 290W 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 24 150N 290W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 155N 305W 34 X 6( 6) 13(19) 7(26) 1(27) X(27) 1(28) 36 155N 305W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 36 155N 305W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 165N 325W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 12(16) 4(20) 1(21) 1(22) 48 165N 325W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 48 165N 325W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 185N 345W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 8(12) 2(14) 1(15) 72 185N 345W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 72 185N 345W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 200N 355W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) 2(11) 96 200N 355W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 96 200N 355W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 120 225N 365W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 120 225N 365W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 120 225N 365W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 35 35 35 25 20 20 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER AVILA