000 FONT14 KNHC 281443 PWSAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142007 1500 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 26.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 144N 273W 34 26 15(41) 1(42) X(42) 1(43) X(43) X(43) 12 144N 273W 50 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 12 144N 273W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 150N 285W 34 4 28(32) 8(40) 2(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) 24 150N 285W 50 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 24 150N 285W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 160N 300W 34 X 7( 7) 20(27) 5(32) 1(33) 1(34) X(34) 36 160N 300W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 36 160N 300W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 170N 315W 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 11(20) 4(24) 1(25) X(25) 48 170N 315W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 48 170N 315W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 185N 340W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 9(13) 2(15) 1(16) 72 185N 340W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 72 185N 340W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 210N 360W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 2(12) 96 210N 360W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 96 210N 360W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 250N 366W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 120 250N 366W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 250N 366W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 40 40 35 30 25 20 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER AVILA