000 FONT14 KNHC 121445 PWSAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092007 1500 UTC WED SEP 12 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NEW IBERIA LA 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GFMX 280N 930W 34 4 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 4 23(27) 6(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) PORT ARTHUR TX 50 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GALVESTON TX 34 23 24(47) 3(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) GALVESTON TX 50 1 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) HOUSTON TX 34 8 22(30) 4(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) HOUSTON TX 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) FREEPORT TX 34 29 16(45) 2(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) FREEPORT TX 50 2 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GFMX 280N 950W 34 44 5(49) 1(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) GFMX 280N 950W 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PORT O CONNOR 34 12 4(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) CORPUS CHRISTI 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 270N 960W 34 6 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 286N 953W 34 33 15(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) 12 286N 953W 50 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 12 286N 953W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 298N 950W 34 9 26(35) 5(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) 24 298N 950W 50 1 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 24 298N 950W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 314N 940W 34 1 9(10) 9(19) 2(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) 36 314N 940W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 36 314N 940W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 327N 915W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 48 327N 915W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 327N 915W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40 40 30 20 0 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN