000 FONT14 KNHC 221439 PWSAT4 HURRICANE DEAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 38 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007 1500 UTC WED AUG 22 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KTS ...100 MPH...160 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BROWNSVILLE TX 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 250N 960W 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LA PESCO MX 34 19 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) TAMPICO MX 34 90 X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) TAMPICO MX 50 45 1(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) TAMPICO MX 64 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) TUXPAN MX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) TUXPAN MX 50 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) TUXPAN MX 64 38 X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) VERACRUZ MX 34 49 X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 212N 986W 34 92 2(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) 12 212N 986W 50 67 3(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) 12 212N 986W 64 8 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 24 213N 1016W 34 6 8(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) 24 213N 1016W 50 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 213N 1016W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 65 25 0 0 0 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN