000 FONT14 KNHC 220832 PWSAT4 HURRICANE DEAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 37 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007 0900 UTC WED AUG 22 2007 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS ...80 MPH...130 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BROWNSVILLE TX 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 250N 960W 34 6 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) LA PESCO MX 34 13 7(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) TAMPICO MX 34 63 9(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) TAMPICO MX 50 10 16(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) TAMPICO MX 64 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) TUXPAN MX 34 94 3(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) TUXPAN MX 50 65 7(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) TUXPAN MX 64 17 7(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) VERACRUZ MX 34 66 X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) VERACRUZ MX 50 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) FRONTERA MX 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 209N 971W 34 97 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) 12 209N 971W 50 75 3(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) 12 209N 971W 64 24 4(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) 24 214N 1002W 34 6 29(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) 24 214N 1002W 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 24 214N 1002W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 218N 1035W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 36 218N 1035W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 218N 1035W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 80 40 20 0 0 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN