000 FONT14 KNHC 220233 PWSAT4 HURRICANE DEAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 36 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007 0300 UTC WED AUG 22 2007 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS ...80 MPH...130 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 250N 960W 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) LA PESCO MX 34 4 9(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) TAMPICO MX 34 17 43(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) TAMPICO MX 50 2 14(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) TAMPICO MX 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TUXPAN MX 34 44 43(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) TUXPAN MX 50 8 41(49) 1(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) TUXPAN MX 64 1 11(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) VERACRUZ MX 34 36 4(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) VERACRUZ MX 50 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) FRONTERA MX 34 77 X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 207N 956W 34 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 207N 956W 50 87 6(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) 12 207N 956W 64 46 13(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) 24 214N 990W 34 5 35(40) 3(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) 24 214N 990W 50 X 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 24 214N 990W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 220N 1020W 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 36 220N 1020W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 220N 1020W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 85 40 25 0 0 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER AVILA