000 FONT14 KNHC 140838 PWSAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007 0900 UTC TUE AUG 14 2007 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 36.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) PONCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) PONCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) SAN JUAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) SAN JUAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 13(23) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 12(23) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 13(27) BARBUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) BARBUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 13(27) ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) ANTIGUA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 12(27) GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) GUADELOUPE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 9(16) AVES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) AVES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 10(22) DOMINICA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) DOMINICA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 8(21) MARTINIQUE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) MARTINIQUE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 7(17) SAINT LUCIA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) SAINT LUCIA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 6(14) SAINT VINCENT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) SAINT VINCENT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) BARBADOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 6(17) BARBADOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) BARBADOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) GRENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) GRENADA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) TRINIDADTOBAGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) PORT OF SPAIN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) JUANGRIEGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 120N 393W 34 16 10(26) X(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) 12 120N 393W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 12 120N 393W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 121N 421W 34 X 24(24) 10(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) 24 121N 421W 50 X 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 24 121N 421W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 123N 450W 34 X 1( 1) 27(28) 10(38) 2(40) 1(41) X(41) 36 123N 450W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 36 123N 450W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 127N 479W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 25(29) 11(40) 2(42) X(42) 48 127N 479W 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 6(14) X(14) X(14) 48 127N 479W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) 72 140N 535W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) 12(37) 2(39) 72 140N 535W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 6(15) 1(16) 72 140N 535W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 96 160N 590W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 21(24) 10(34) 96 160N 590W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 5(15) 96 160N 590W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 120 185N 635W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 14(22) 120 185N 635W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 120 185N 635W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 55 65 80 90 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME