000 FONT13 KNHC 130242 PWSAT3 HURRICANE LEE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132023 0300 UTC WED SEP 13 2023 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 9(21) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 10(16) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 5(18) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 45(48) 4(52) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 3(22) YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 10(19) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 31(32) 10(42) ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 4(13) ST JOHN NB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 34(35) 7(42) EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 2(15) EASTPORT ME 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 3(23) BAR HARBOR ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 2(14) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 2(12) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 1(12) WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 1(17) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 22(30) X(30) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 1(18) PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) X(14) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) BERMUDA 34 X 1( 1) 15(16) 26(42) 10(52) X(52) X(52) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) $$ FORECASTER PASCH