784 FONT13 KNHC 090845 PWSAT3 HURRICANE LEE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132023 0900 UTC SAT SEP 09 2023 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 7(16) GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 3(12) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) 1(12) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 4( 9) 4(13) 2(15) SAINT JOHN 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 5(10) 3(13) 2(15) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) SAINT MAARTEN 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 3( 9) 4(13) 1(14) 1(15) SABA 34 1 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) 1(10) ST EUSTATIUS 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) BARBUDA 34 2 2( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 2(11) X(11) 1(12) ANTIGUA 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GUADELOUPE 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BUCCI