000 FONT13 KNHC 211441 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082023 1500 UTC MON AUG 21 2023 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 15(21) 2(23) X(23) GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 6(12) 1(13) 1(14) X(14) CAPE BEATA 34 1 3( 4) 41(45) 5(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51) CAPE BEATA 50 X X( X) 11(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) CAPE BEATA 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PUERTO PLATA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 25(29) 9(38) 1(39) 1(40) PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PUERTO PLATA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X 2( 2) 15(17) 19(36) 2(38) X(38) 1(39) SANTO DOMINGO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PONCE PR 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) AGUADILLA PR 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) SAINT JOHN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) $$ FORECASTER PAPIN