000 FONT13 KNHC 212034 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM BRET WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032023 2100 UTC WED JUN 21 2023 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BRET WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PT GALLINAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CURACAO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT JOHN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SABA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ST EUSTATIUS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BARBUDA 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GUADELOUPE 34 X 4( 4) 9(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) AVES 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 20(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) AVES 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DOMINICA 34 X 5( 5) 30(35) 3(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) DOMINICA 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MARTINIQUE 34 X 1( 1) 42(43) 1(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) MARTINIQUE 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT LUCIA 34 X 5( 5) 40(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) SAINT LUCIA 50 X X( X) 12(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) SAINT LUCIA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SAINT VINCENT 34 X 3( 3) 11(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) SAINT VINCENT 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BARBADOS 34 1 12(13) 13(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) BARBADOS 50 X 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GRENADA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BERG