795 FONT13 KNHC 082040 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM JULIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132022 2100 UTC SAT OCT 08 2022 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GUANAJA 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAN ANDRES 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAN ANDRES 50 86 X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) SAN ANDRES 64 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PUERTO CABEZAS 34 27 13(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) BLUEFIELDS 34 56 17(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) BLUEFIELDS 50 4 29(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) BLUEFIELDS 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MANAGUA 34 1 23(24) 2(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) MANAGUA 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) S SALVADOR 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) TEGUCIGALPA 34 1 7( 8) 5(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) P SAN JOSE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) GUATEMALA CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LIMON 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BERG