667 FONT13 KNHC 061453 PWSAT3 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE THIRTEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132022 1500 UTC THU OCT 06 2022 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE THIRTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT FRONTERA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) BELIZE CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) GUANAJA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 3(14) GUANAJA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) PUERTO CABEZAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 15(30) X(30) PUERTO CABEZAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) PUERTO CABEZAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) BLUEFIELDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 16(27) 1(28) BLUEFIELDS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) BLUEFIELDS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) SAN ANDRES 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 42(43) 6(49) X(49) SAN ANDRES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 3(20) X(20) SAN ANDRES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) LIMON 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) COLON 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PT GALLINAS 34 X 14(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) CURACAO 34 11 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) $$ FORECASTER BERG