000 FONT13 KNHC 282058 PWSAT3 HURRICANE ZETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL282020 2100 UTC WED OCT 28 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ZETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 95 KTS ...110 MPH...175 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 23(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) 16(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) 18(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X 1( 1) 13(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) WASHINGTON DC 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) 32(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 1( 1) 40(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X 3( 3) 30(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) PAX RIVER NAS 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WALLOPS CDA 34 X 1( 1) 37(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X 17(17) 4(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) RICHMOND VA 34 X 17(17) 22(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) RICHMOND VA 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) DANVILLE VA 34 X 51(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) DANVILLE VA 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NORFOLK NAS 34 X 4( 4) 14(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) NORFOLK VA 34 X 4( 4) 13(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X 3( 3) 10(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GREENSBORO NC 34 X 55(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) GREENSBORO NC 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) RALEIGH NC 34 X 23(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) ROCKY MT NC 34 X 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 55(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) CHARLOTTE NC 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW RIVER NC 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FLORENCE SC 34 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) COLUMBIA SC 34 X 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) ATLANTA GA 34 3 86(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) ATLANTA GA 50 X 16(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) AUGUSTA GA 34 1 11(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ST MARKS FL 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) APALACHICOLA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 290N 850W 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PANAMA CITY FL 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 44 X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) COLUMBUS GA 34 28 30(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 73 2(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) BIRMINGHAM AL 50 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MONTGOMERY AL 34 96 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) MONTGOMERY AL 50 26 2(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) WHITING FLD FL 34 93 X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) WHITING FLD FL 50 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PENSACOLA FL 34 94 X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) PENSACOLA FL 50 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 290N 870W 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MOBILE AL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MOBILE AL 50 97 X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) MOBILE AL 64 16 X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) GULFPORT MS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GULFPORT MS 50 92 X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) GULFPORT MS 64 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) STENNIS MS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) STENNIS MS 50 42 X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) BURAS LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BURAS LA 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BURAS LA 64 38 X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) GFMX 280N 890W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 280N 910W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 280N 910W 50 19 X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) PENSACOLA NAS 34 95 X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) PENSACOLA NAS 50 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) KEESLER AB 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) KEESLER AB 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) KEESLER AB 64 31 X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) $$ FORECASTER PASCH