000 FONT13 KNHC 051448 PWSAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CRISTOBAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032020 1500 UTC FRI JUN 05 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT MAYPORT NS FL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PATRICK AFB 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FT PIERCE FL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) W PALM BEACH 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MARATHON FL 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) KEY WEST FL 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NAPLES FL 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) VENICE FL 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) TAMPA FL 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) APALACHICOLA 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 7(16) 3(19) X(19) X(19) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 9(12) X(12) X(12) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 14(18) X(18) X(18) GULFPORT MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 18(23) 1(24) X(24) STENNIS MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BURAS LA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 17(28) 1(29) X(29) BURAS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 280N 890W 34 1 5( 6) 22(28) 18(46) 6(52) X(52) X(52) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GFMX 280N 890W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10) 1(11) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 23(29) 1(30) X(30) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NEW ORLEANS LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GFMX 280N 910W 34 1 4( 5) 17(22) 22(44) 10(54) X(54) X(54) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 8(15) X(15) X(15) GFMX 280N 910W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 22(25) 1(26) 1(27) BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 24(28) X(28) 1(29) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MORGAN CITY LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 2(14) X(14) ALEXANDRIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 16(18) 1(19) X(19) LAFAYETTE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) LAFAYETTE LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 17(20) 1(21) 1(22) NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEW IBERIA LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 8(15) 6(21) X(21) X(21) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) FORT POLK LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) X(10) FORT POLK LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) X(11) LAKE CHARLES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) CAMERON LA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 9(15) 1(16) 1(17) CAMERON LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) JASPER TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) KOUNTZE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) GALVESTON TX 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) MATAGORDA TX 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PORT O CONNOR 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 270N 960W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 250N 960W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MERIDA MX 34 22 3(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) COZUMEL MX 34 9 2(11) 2(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) BELIZE CITY 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 3 2( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) HAVANA 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLE OF PINES 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PENSACOLA NAS 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 6(11) 5(16) X(16) X(16) KEESLER AB 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 9(15) 10(25) 1(26) X(26) KEESLER AB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH