000 FONT13 KNHC 281458 PWSAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182017 1500 UTC SAT OCT 28 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) W PALM BEACH 34 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X 13(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) MIAMI FL 34 X 13(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X 16(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) MARATHON FL 34 1 9(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) KEY WEST FL 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X 31(31) 5(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) GRAND BAHAMA 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X 15(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) ANDROS 34 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) HAVANA 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ISLE OF PINES 34 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CIENFUEGOS 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER STEWART