000 FONT13 KNHC 171454 PWSAT3 HURRICANE GONZALO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 1500 UTC FRI OCT 17 2014 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 110 KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) 78(78) 4(82) X(82) X(82) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) 34(34) 5(39) X(39) X(39) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 64(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) 21(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 12(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) BERMUDA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BERMUDA 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BERMUDA 64 95 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) $$ FORECASTER AVILA