000 FONT13 KNHC 031434 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014 1500 UTC SUN AUG 03 2014 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 28(31) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 15(31) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 5(22) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 2(12) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 34(37) X(37) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) X(15) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) X(13) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GREAT EXUMA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAN SALVADOR 34 47 3(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) SAN SALVADOR 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MAYAGUANA 34 74 X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) GRAND TURK 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER PASCH