000 FONT13 KNHC 062032 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM HANNA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 40 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008 2100 UTC SAT SEP 06 2008 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED X 10 10 13 15 17 20 TROP DEPRESSION 9 44 17 19 19 20 20 TROPICAL STORM 88 44 66 56 49 47 41 HURRICANE 3 3 7 12 16 16 18 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 2 2 6 10 12 13 14 HUR CAT 2 X X 1 1 3 3 2 HUR CAT 3 1 X X 1 1 1 1 HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 45KT 45KT 45KT 45KT 45KT 45KT 45KT II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) 2(28) X(28) X(28) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) 19(19) 12(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) 36(36) 3(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) 39(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) PTX BASQUES 34 X 1( 1) 32(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) EDDY POINT NS 34 X 8( 8) 23(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SYDNEY NS 34 X 4( 4) 31(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SABLE ISLAND 34 X 4( 4) 9(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) HALIFAX NS 34 X 23(23) 6(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) HALIFAX NS 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) YARMOUTH NS 34 1 36(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) YARMOUTH NS 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MONCTON NB 34 X 14(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) MONCTON NB 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ST JOHN NB 34 X 20(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) EASTPORT ME 34 1 19(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) BAR HARBOR ME 34 3 16(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) AUGUSTA ME 34 4 6(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) PORTLAND ME 34 11 6(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) CONCORD NH 34 22 X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) BOSTON MA 34 57 5(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) BOSTON MA 50 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BOSTON MA 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) HYANNIS MA 34 61 6(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) HYANNIS MA 50 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NANTUCKET MA 34 55 5(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) NANTUCKET MA 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PROVIDENCE RI 34 71 2(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) PROVIDENCE RI 50 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PROVIDENCE RI 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) HARTFORD CT 34 53 X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) MONTAUK POINT 34 79 X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) MONTAUK POINT 50 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NEW YORK CITY 34 77 X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) NEWARK NJ 34 49 X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) TRENTON NJ 34 40 X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) ATLANTIC CITY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) DOVER DE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 9 X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) OCEAN CITY MD 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NORFOLK VA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN