000 FONT13 KNHC 052033 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM HANNA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 36 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008 2100 UTC FRI SEP 05 2008 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED X 1 11 12 21 19 22 TROP DEPRESSION 1 10 30 26 25 19 21 TROPICAL STORM 77 77 55 53 44 46 40 HURRICANE 22 12 5 9 10 16 17 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 20 11 4 8 8 13 14 HUR CAT 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 HUR CAT 3 X X X X 1 1 1 HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 60KT 50KT 45KT 40KT 40KT 45KT 45KT II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 4(20) X(20) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) X(20) X(20) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) X(20) X(20) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) X(17) X(17) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) X(16) X(16) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 20(27) X(27) X(27) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) X(22) X(22) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 15(20) X(20) X(20) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 19(19) 11(30) X(30) X(30) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 27(28) 3(31) X(31) X(31) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 8(19) X(19) X(19) MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) 17(17) 3(20) X(20) X(20) ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 16(16) 3(19) X(19) X(19) EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) BAR HARBOR ME 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) PORTLAND ME 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 13(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) BOSTON MA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BOSTON MA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) 12(12) 19(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) 14(14) 19(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) 14(14) 12(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) 11(11) 5(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) 22(22) 8(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MONTAUK POINT 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) NEW YORK CITY 34 X 3( 3) 17(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) NEW YORK CITY 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEWARK NJ 34 X 2( 2) 15(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) NEWARK NJ 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TRENTON NJ 34 X 5( 5) 12(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X 9( 9) 25(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BALTIMORE MD 34 X 9( 9) 6(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) DOVER DE 34 X 15(15) 16(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) DOVER DE 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X 14(14) 8(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) WASHINGTON DC 34 X 14(14) 4(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 28(28) 25(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X 2( 2) 8(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) RICHMOND VA 34 3 37(40) 3(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) RICHMOND VA 50 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) RICHMOND VA 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) NORFOLK VA 34 8 57(65) 6(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) NORFOLK VA 50 X 16(16) 3(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) NORFOLK VA 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GREENSBORO NC 34 5 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) RALEIGH NC 34 19 20(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) RALEIGH NC 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAPE HATTERAS 34 33 31(64) 2(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X 17(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) CHARLOTTE NC 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MOREHEAD CITY 34 64 23(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) MOREHEAD CITY 50 2 34(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WILMINGTON NC 34 81 12(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) WILMINGTON NC 50 18 25(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) WILMINGTON NC 64 1 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) COLUMBIA SC 34 9 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) MYRTLE BEACH 34 86 2(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) MYRTLE BEACH 50 23 4(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) MYRTLE BEACH 64 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CHARLESTON SC 34 45 1(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) CHARLESTON SC 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AUGUSTA GA 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAVANNAH GA 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN