000 FONT13 KNHC 051452 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM HANNA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 35 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008 1500 UTC FRI SEP 05 2008 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED X 1 5 16 23 21 24 TROP DEPRESSION 1 6 15 36 25 17 20 TROPICAL STORM 74 76 66 43 43 47 40 HURRICANE 25 18 15 5 9 15 17 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 23 16 12 4 7 12 14 HUR CAT 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 HUR CAT 3 X 1 1 X X 1 1 HUR CAT 4 1 X X X X X X HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 60KT 55KT 45KT 40KT 40KT 45KT 45KT II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 12(21) X(21) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 4(21) X(21) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 1(20) X(20) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 1(19) X(19) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) X(16) X(16) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) X(22) X(22) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) X(20) X(20) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) X(19) X(19) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) X(21) X(21) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 17(22) X(22) X(22) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) X(14) X(14) MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) X(15) X(15) ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ST JOHN NB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) X(15) X(15) EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) EASTPORT ME 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) X(15) X(15) BAR HARBOR ME 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) X(11) X(11) AUGUSTA ME 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 3(20) X(20) X(20) BOSTON MA 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BOSTON MA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 4(27) X(27) X(27) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) 2(27) X(27) X(27) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 20(22) 2(24) X(24) X(24) PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) HARTFORD CT 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HARTFORD CT 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 23(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 16(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) NEW YORK CITY 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NEW YORK CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 13(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) NEWARK NJ 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) 13(13) 11(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) TRENTON NJ 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) TRENTON NJ 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X 1( 1) 21(22) 15(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) ATLANTIC CITY 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BALTIMORE MD 34 X 1( 1) 19(20) 4(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) BALTIMORE MD 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) DOVER DE 34 X 1( 1) 28(29) 8(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) DOVER DE 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) DOVER DE 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X 2( 2) 25(27) 4(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) ANNAPOLIS MD 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ANNAPOLIS MD 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) WASHINGTON DC 34 X 2( 2) 22(24) 2(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) WASHINGTON DC 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) WASHINGTON DC 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 3( 3) 37(40) 9(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) 14(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) RICHMOND VA 34 X 12(12) 36(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) RICHMOND VA 50 X 1( 1) 16(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) RICHMOND VA 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) NORFOLK VA 34 X 15(15) 44(59) 1(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) 21(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) NORFOLK VA 64 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GREENSBORO NC 34 1 24(25) 6(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) GREENSBORO NC 50 X 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) RALEIGH NC 34 2 39(41) 17(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) RALEIGH NC 50 X 12(12) 13(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) RALEIGH NC 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 2 23(25) 21(46) 1(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CHARLOTTE NC 34 3 17(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) CHARLOTTE NC 50 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MOREHEAD CITY 34 15 32(47) 15(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X 8( 8) 10(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) WILMINGTON NC 34 28 44(72) 7(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) WILMINGTON NC 50 X 30(30) 5(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) WILMINGTON NC 64 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) COLUMBIA SC 34 14 20(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) COLUMBIA SC 50 X 12(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) COLUMBIA SC 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MYRTLE BEACH 34 42 45(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) MYRTLE BEACH 50 1 51(52) 1(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CHARLESTON SC 34 59 22(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) CHARLESTON SC 50 17 36(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) CHARLESTON SC 64 1 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) AUGUSTA GA 34 8 6(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) SAVANNAH GA 34 42 5(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) SAVANNAH GA 50 18 4(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) SAVANNAH GA 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) JACKSONVILLE 34 19 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) DAYTONA BEACH 34 15 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) ORLANDO FL 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) COCOA BEACH FL 34 10 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) FT PIERCE FL 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GRAND BAHAMA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN