000 FONT13 KNHC 050245 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM HANNA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 33 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008 0300 UTC FRI SEP 05 2008 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED X X 2 15 24 26 30 TROP DEPRESSION 1 3 10 35 25 21 19 TROPICAL STORM 86 65 68 46 42 43 38 HURRICANE 13 32 20 5 9 11 13 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 12 28 17 4 7 9 10 HUR CAT 2 1 3 2 1 1 2 2 HUR CAT 3 X 1 1 X X 1 1 HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 55KT 60KT 50KT 40KT 40KT 40KT 40KT II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 2(18) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) X(19) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 13(18) 1(19) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 12(18) X(18) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 10(17) X(17) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 4(19) X(19) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 7(20) X(20) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 5(19) X(19) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 2(20) X(20) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 1(21) X(21) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 2(13) X(13) MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 2(14) X(14) ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 1(13) X(13) EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12) BAR HARBOR ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) X(15) X(15) BOSTON MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) X(20) X(20) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20(23) X(23) X(23) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) X(18) X(18) PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) X(14) X(14) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 16(21) X(21) X(21) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 9(18) X(18) X(18) NEW YORK CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 7(16) X(16) X(16) NEWARK NJ 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 5(16) X(16) X(16) TRENTON NJ 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 5(23) X(23) X(23) ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) BALTIMORE MD 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 4(24) X(24) X(24) DOVER DE 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20) ANNAPOLIS MD 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 13(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) WASHINGTON DC 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 23(30) 2(32) X(32) X(32) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) RICHMOND VA 34 X 1( 1) 17(18) 15(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) RICHMOND VA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) RICHMOND VA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) NORFOLK VA 34 X 1( 1) 23(24) 21(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) NORFOLK VA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GREENSBORO NC 34 X 2( 2) 15(17) 3(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) GREENSBORO NC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) RALEIGH NC 34 X 5( 5) 32(37) 5(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) RALEIGH NC 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 7( 7) 30(37) 12(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 4( 4) 9(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 17(17) 42(59) 6(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) 17(17) 3(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WILMINGTON NC 34 X 26(26) 46(72) 2(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) WILMINGTON NC 50 X 1( 1) 29(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) COLUMBIA SC 34 X 10(10) 11(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) MYRTLE BEACH 34 1 34(35) 34(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X 6( 6) 24(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CHARLESTON SC 34 2 34(36) 14(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) CHARLESTON SC 50 X 9( 9) 8(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) AUGUSTA GA 34 X 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SAVANNAH GA 34 2 16(18) 4(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) SAVANNAH GA 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) JACKSONVILLE 34 2 7( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) DAYTONA BEACH 34 5 4( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) ORLANDO FL 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) COCOA BEACH FL 34 6 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) FT PIERCE FL 34 4 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) W PALM BEACH 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GRAND BAHAMA 34 14 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GREAT EXUMA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAN SALVADOR 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER AVILA