000 FONT13 KNHC 282032 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM HANNA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008 2100 UTC THU AUG 28 2008 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED 1 2 2 1 1 2 5 TROP DEPRESSION 32 20 11 6 4 5 11 TROPICAL STORM 66 73 68 49 33 34 41 HURRICANE 1 5 20 44 62 59 44 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 1 4 16 32 36 33 25 HUR CAT 2 X X 2 8 15 15 11 HUR CAT 3 X X 1 3 9 9 6 HUR CAT 4 X X X 1 3 2 2 HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35KT 40KT 50KT 60KT 70KT 70KT 65KT II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) MARCO ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) 3(12) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) ANDROS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 4(12) SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 3(10) MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) $$ FORECASTER RHOME