000 FONT13 KNHC 201459 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032008 1500 UTC SUN JUL 20 2008 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED X X 2 7 X X X TROP DEPRESSION 11 11 13 23 X X X TROPICAL STORM 87 78 71 59 X X X HURRICANE 3 11 14 12 X X X - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 2 10 13 10 X X X HUR CAT 2 X 1 1 1 X X X HUR CAT 3 X X X X X X X HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 45KT 50KT 50KT 45KT 0KT 0KT 0KT II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 25 9(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) CAPE HATTERAS 50 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MOREHEAD CITY 34 3 X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER KNABB