000 FONT13 KNHC 260245 PWSAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132007 0300 UTC WED SEP 26 2007 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) X(10) LA PESCO MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) X(10) TAMPICO MX 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 8(14) 3(17) X(17) TAMPICO MX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) TUXPAN MX 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 6(12) 7(19) 4(23) X(23) TUXPAN MX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) VERACRUZ MX 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 4(10) 5(15) 4(19) X(19) VERACRUZ MX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FRONTERA MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 215N 955W 34 4 9(13) 5(18) 9(27) 5(32) 3(35) X(35) 12 215N 955W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 12 215N 955W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 213N 954W 34 4 8(12) 7(19) 8(27) 5(32) 3(35) X(35) 24 213N 954W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 24 213N 954W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 36 211N 953W 34 3 8(11) 7(18) 8(26) 6(32) 2(34) X(34) 36 211N 953W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 36 211N 953W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 48 209N 956W 34 2 9(11) 7(18) 8(26) 5(31) 3(34) X(34) 48 209N 956W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 48 209N 956W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 205N 965W 34 1 4( 5) 6(11) 9(20) 6(26) 3(29) X(29) 72 205N 965W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 72 205N 965W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 96 200N 980W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 6(11) 4(15) X(15) 96 200N 980W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 96 200N 980W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 25 30 35 40 50 30 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN