000 FONT13 KNHC 162035 PWSAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007 2100 UTC SUN SEP 16 2007 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PONCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) SAN JUAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 3( 9) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) 2( 7) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 3(10) 1(11) 2(13) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) BARBUDA 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 3(10) 1(11) 1(12) 1(13) ANTIGUA 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) GUADELOUPE 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) AVES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 178N 598W 34 15 7(22) 1(23) 1(24) 1(25) 1(26) 1(27) 12 178N 598W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 12 178N 598W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 185N 610W 34 3 13(16) 6(22) 2(24) 2(26) 1(27) 1(28) 24 185N 610W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 24 185N 610W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 193N 619W 34 1 6( 7) 9(16) 5(21) 2(23) 1(24) 3(27) 36 193N 619W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 36 193N 619W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 202N 627W 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 7(15) 4(19) 3(22) 2(24) 48 202N 627W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 48 202N 627W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 212N 637W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 7(14) 4(18) 3(21) 72 212N 637W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 72 212N 637W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 225N 650W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 5(13) 4(17) 96 225N 650W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 96 225N 650W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 120 240N 660W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 3(13) 120 240N 660W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 120 240N 660W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 30 30 30 30 35 45 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER PASCH