000 FONT13 KNHC 142027 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM INGRID WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007 2100 UTC FRI SEP 14 2007 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM INGRID WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 160N 515W 34 40 6(46) 1(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) 12 160N 515W 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 12 160N 515W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 170N 528W 34 7 15(22) 5(27) 2(29) 1(30) X(30) 1(31) 24 170N 528W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 24 170N 528W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 180N 540W 34 1 6( 7) 10(17) 4(21) 2(23) 1(24) 1(25) 36 180N 540W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 36 180N 540W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 190N 553W 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 8(14) 4(18) 2(20) X(20) 48 190N 553W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 48 190N 553W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 205N 570W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 9(13) 3(16) 2(18) 72 205N 570W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 72 205N 570W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 220N 589W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) 2(14) 96 220N 589W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 96 220N 589W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 120 240N 610W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) 120 240N 610W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 120 240N 610W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 30 30 30 30 30 30 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER AVILA