000 FONT13 KNHC 141433 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM INGRID WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007 1500 UTC FRI SEP 14 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM INGRID WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 155N 508W 34 36 9(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) 12 155N 508W 50 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 12 155N 508W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 165N 522W 34 2 21(23) 8(31) 1(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) 24 165N 522W 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 24 165N 522W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 175N 535W 34 X 6( 6) 15(21) 5(26) 1(27) 1(28) X(28) 36 175N 535W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 36 175N 535W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 185N 550W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 7(14) 5(19) 1(20) 1(21) 48 185N 550W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 48 185N 550W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 200N 575W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 8(11) 4(15) 2(17) 72 200N 575W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 72 200N 575W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 215N 595W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) 1(13) 96 215N 595W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 96 215N 595W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 120 230N 610W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) 120 230N 610W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 120 230N 610W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 35 35 30 30 30 30 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER AVILA