000 FONT13 KNHC 140851 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM INGRID WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007 0900 UTC FRI SEP 14 2007 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM INGRID WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 155N 500W 34 63 7(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) 1(72) 12 155N 500W 50 5 2( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 12 155N 500W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 161N 511W 34 21 27(48) 6(54) 1(55) 1(56) 1(57) X(57) 24 161N 511W 50 X 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) 24 161N 511W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 167N 523W 34 2 15(17) 19(36) 3(39) 3(42) X(42) 1(43) 36 167N 523W 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 36 167N 523W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 173N 537W 34 1 2( 3) 11(14) 9(23) 5(28) 1(29) 1(30) 48 173N 537W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) 48 173N 537W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 185N 565W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 10(14) 4(18) 2(20) 72 185N 565W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 72 185N 565W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 200N 585W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 6(14) 2(16) 96 200N 585W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 96 200N 585W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 120 215N 605W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) 120 215N 605W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 120 215N 605W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40 40 40 35 35 30 30 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI