000 FONT13 KNHC 140227 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM INGRID WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007 0300 UTC FRI SEP 14 2007 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM INGRID WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 151N 494W 34 64 7(71) 1(72) 1(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) 12 151N 494W 50 5 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 12 151N 494W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 156N 504W 34 25 23(48) 5(53) 1(54) 1(55) X(55) 1(56) 24 156N 504W 50 1 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 24 156N 504W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 162N 516W 34 2 15(17) 13(30) 5(35) 3(38) X(38) 1(39) 36 162N 516W 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 36 162N 516W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 167N 529W 34 1 3( 4) 7(11) 10(21) 4(25) 1(26) 1(27) 48 167N 529W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) 48 167N 529W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 178N 560W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 10(13) 4(17) 2(19) 72 178N 560W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 72 178N 560W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 190N 585W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) 2(14) 96 190N 585W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 96 190N 585W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 120 205N 605W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) 120 205N 605W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 120 205N 605W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40 40 35 35 35 30 30 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE