000 FONT13 KNHC 010231 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032007 0300 UTC WED AUG 01 2007 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 43.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 2 34(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 54 4(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ILE ST PIERRE 34 24 X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) SABLE ISLAND 34 36 X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 466N 536W 34 57 1(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) 12 466N 536W 50 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 12 466N 536W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 517N 451W 34 X 41(41) 9(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) 24 517N 451W 50 X 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 24 517N 451W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 560N 370W 34 X X( X) 49(49) 17(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) 36 560N 370W 50 X X( X) 11(11) 13(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) 36 560N 370W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 48 579N 323W 34 X X( X) 13(13) 50(63) 8(71) X(71) X(71) 48 579N 323W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) 7(31) X(31) 1(32) 48 579N 323W 64 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) 72 600N 250W 34 X X( X) X( X) 17(17) 31(48) 6(54) 2(56) 72 600N 250W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 3(20) X(20) 72 600N 250W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 96 620N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 17(29) 4(33) 96 620N 165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 2(11) 96 620N 165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 120 655N 80W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 8(16) 120 655N 80W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 120 655N 80W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 45 45 50 60 50 40 35 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BROWN