000 FONT12 KNHC 191458 PWSAT2 HURRICANE FIONA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072022 1500 UTC MON SEP 19 2022 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FIONA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 40(40) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 30(30) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 31(31) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 53(53) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 69(71) 9(80) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 42(42) 8(50) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) 5(29) GREAT EXUMA 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) SAN SALVADOR 34 X 4( 4) 6(10) 8(18) 4(22) 1(23) X(23) SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MAYAGUANA 34 2 15(17) 25(42) 7(49) 2(51) X(51) X(51) MAYAGUANA 50 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 4(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GRAND TURK 34 22 69(91) 3(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) GRAND TURK 50 2 53(55) 11(66) 2(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) GRAND TURK 64 X 30(30) 13(43) 1(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LES CAYES 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 3 3( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) CAPE BEATA 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PUERTO PLATA 34 72 9(81) 1(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) PUERTO PLATA 50 6 6(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) PUERTO PLATA 64 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SANTO DOMINGO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PONCE PR 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AGUADILLA PR 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAN JUAN PR 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) VIEQUES PR 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH