595 FONT12 KNHC 172056 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM FIONA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072022 2100 UTC SAT SEP 17 2022 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FIONA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 13(21) 2(23) SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 18(22) 15(37) 1(38) MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) 1(14) MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) GRAND TURK 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 14(20) 35(55) 8(63) 1(64) GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 22(25) 6(31) 1(32) GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 3(14) 1(15) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 5(11) 2(13) X(13) CAPE BEATA 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) PUERTO PLATA 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) 18(28) 16(44) 4(48) X(48) PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) 1(15) X(15) PUERTO PLATA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 8(17) 4(21) 2(23) X(23) SANTO DOMINGO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PONCE PR 34 38 47(85) 3(88) X(88) 1(89) X(89) X(89) PONCE PR 50 1 32(33) 8(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) PONCE PR 64 X 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) AGUADILLA PR 34 22 53(75) 13(88) 2(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) AGUADILLA PR 50 X 29(29) 25(54) 2(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) AGUADILLA PR 64 X 6( 6) 9(15) 1(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) SAN JUAN PR 34 54 36(90) 2(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) SAN JUAN PR 50 X 33(33) 3(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) SAN JUAN PR 64 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) VIEQUES PR 34 83 10(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) VIEQUES PR 50 17 18(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) VIEQUES PR 64 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAINT THOMAS 34 75 6(81) 1(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) SAINT THOMAS 50 6 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SAINT JOHN 34 74 5(79) X(79) 1(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) SAINT JOHN 50 4 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAINT CROIX 34 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) SAINT CROIX 50 30 2(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) SAINT CROIX 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SAINT MAARTEN 34 27 2(29) 2(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) SABA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ST EUSTATIUS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BARBUDA 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ANTIGUA 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GUADELOUPE 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) AVES 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BERG