000 FONT12 KNHC 240842 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM GONZALO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072020 0900 UTC FRI JUL 24 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) SAINT LUCIA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SAINT LUCIA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 32(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) SAINT VINCENT 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SAINT VINCENT 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BARBADOS 34 X 1( 1) 15(16) 4(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) BARBADOS 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BARBADOS 64 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GRENADA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 23(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) GRENADA 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GRENADA 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TRINIDADTOBAGO 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) TRINIDADTOBAGO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) TRINIDADTOBAGO 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS