000 FONT12 KNHC 130840 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM BARRY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022019 0900 UTC SAT JUL 13 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT WHITING FLD FL 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PENSACOLA FL 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 290N 870W 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MOBILE AL 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GULFPORT MS 34 6 5(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) STENNIS MS 34 13 5(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) BURAS LA 34 18 5(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) GFMX 280N 890W 34 4 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) JACKSON MS 34 3 7(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 61 5(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 910W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 280N 910W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BATON ROUGE LA 34 83 8(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) BATON ROUGE LA 50 33 7(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) BATON ROUGE LA 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MORGAN CITY LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MORGAN CITY LA 50 87 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) MORGAN CITY LA 64 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 39 40(79) 4(83) X(83) 1(84) X(84) X(84) ALEXANDRIA LA 50 1 19(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) ALEXANDRIA LA 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) LAFAYETTE LA 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LAFAYETTE LA 50 62 14(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) LAFAYETTE LA 64 10 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) NEW IBERIA LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW IBERIA LA 50 68 11(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) NEW IBERIA LA 64 10 3(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) GFMX 280N 930W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SHREVEPORT LA 34 3 7(10) 11(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) FORT POLK LA 34 29 46(75) 3(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) FORT POLK LA 50 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) LAKE CHARLES 34 70 21(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) LAKE CHARLES 50 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CAMERON LA 34 87 5(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) CAMERON LA 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) JASPER TX 34 11 26(37) 2(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) KOUNTZE TX 34 13 15(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 35 14(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) GALVESTON TX 34 7 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) HOUSTON TX 34 3 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) FREEPORT TX 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GFMX 280N 950W 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 17 6(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) MATAGORDA TX 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PORT O CONNOR 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI