000 FONT12 KNHC 101453 PWSAT2 HURRICANE JOSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017 ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1500 UTC SUN SEP 10 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115 KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 6(11) 21(32) SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) MAYAGUANA 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 3( 9) 11(20) 15(35) MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) GRAND TURK 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 5(12) 17(29) 13(42) GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PUERTO PLATA 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 5( 8) 6(14) SANTO DOMINGO 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) AGUADILLA PR 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) SAN JUAN PR 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER R BALLARD