000 FONT12 KNHC 090242 PWSAT2 HURRICANE JOSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017 0300 UTC SAT SEP 09 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 135 KTS...155 MPH...250 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 3(14) 1(15) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) PONCE PR 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) AGUADILLA PR 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) SAN JUAN PR 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 3(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) VIEQUES PR 34 1 3( 4) 6(10) 2(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) SAINT THOMAS 34 1 8( 9) 13(22) 2(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) SAINT THOMAS 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAINT CROIX 34 1 4( 5) 5(10) 1(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) SAINT MAARTEN 34 3 71(74) 1(75) 1(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) SAINT MAARTEN 50 1 28(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) SAINT MAARTEN 64 X 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 4 27(31) 2(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BARBUDA 34 83 10(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) BARBUDA 50 12 40(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) BARBUDA 64 2 19(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) ANTIGUA 34 34 20(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) ANTIGUA 50 3 7(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) ANTIGUA 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GUADELOUPE 34 5 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) AVES 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) DOMINICA 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI