000 FONT12 KNHC 080248 PWSAT2 HURRICANE JOSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017 0300 UTC FRI SEP 08 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) X(10) X(10) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) X(10) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 8(13) 1(14) X(14) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 9(15) 1(16) X(16) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 12(23) X(23) 1(24) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 6(15) 1(16) X(16) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) 38(51) 5(56) 1(57) X(57) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 4(24) X(24) X(24) SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X 2( 2) 15(17) 20(37) 3(40) X(40) X(40) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BARBUDA 34 X 3( 3) 53(56) 19(75) 1(76) X(76) X(76) BARBUDA 50 X X( X) 20(20) 23(43) 1(44) X(44) X(44) BARBUDA 64 X X( X) 7( 7) 17(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) ANTIGUA 34 X 3( 3) 40(43) 14(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58) ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) 11(11) 10(21) X(21) 1(22) X(22) ANTIGUA 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) GUADELOUPE 34 X 3( 3) 20(23) 7(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) GUADELOUPE 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GUADELOUPE 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) AVES 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) DOMINICA 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) MARTINIQUE 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SAINT LUCIA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAINT VINCENT 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BARBADOS 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI