000 FONT12 KNHC 072033 PWSAT2 HURRICANE JOSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017 ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 2100 UTC THU SEP 07 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 1(12) X(12) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) 1(12) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 13(17) 1(18) 1(19) SAN JUAN PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAN JUAN PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 15(20) 1(21) X(21) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 22(30) 1(31) X(31) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 13(21) X(21) X(21) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 46(52) 15(67) X(67) X(67) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 18(37) X(37) X(37) SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 12(19) X(19) X(19) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 37(46) 7(53) X(53) X(53) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 5(22) X(22) X(22) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) BARBUDA 34 X 2( 2) 33(35) 45(80) 4(84) X(84) X(84) BARBUDA 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 46(52) 5(57) X(57) X(57) BARBUDA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 28(29) 5(34) X(34) X(34) ANTIGUA 34 X 2( 2) 28(30) 35(65) 2(67) X(67) X(67) ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 29(34) 2(36) X(36) X(36) ANTIGUA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) GUADELOUPE 34 X 2( 2) 21(23) 18(41) 2(43) X(43) X(43) GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) GUADELOUPE 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) AVES 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) DOMINICA 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 5(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) DOMINICA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MARTINIQUE 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SAINT LUCIA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SAINT VINCENT 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BARBADOS 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER LAMERS/CARBIN