000 FONT12 KNHC 110255 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072013 0300 UTC WED SEP 11 2013 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED X 2 3 4 9 10 NA TROP DEPRESSION 2 15 19 21 24 22 NA TROPICAL STORM 92 77 69 64 58 58 NA HURRICANE 6 6 9 11 10 11 NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 6 6 9 10 9 10 NA HUR CAT 2 X X 1 1 1 1 NA HUR CAT 3 X X X X X X NA HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X NA HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 50KT 45KT 45KT 45KT 45KT 45KT NA II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) X(23) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 30(37) X(37) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 29(37) X(37) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 19(30) X(30) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 8(35) X(35) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 15(36) X(36) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 35(35) 5(40) X(40) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 1(24) X(24) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BERMUDA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BERMUDA 50 31 1(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) BERMUDA 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) $$ FORECASTER BROWN