000 FONT12 KNHC 091432 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 41 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012 1500 UTC SUN SEP 09 2012 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED X X 1 1 3 6 NA TROP DEPRESSION 2 3 2 7 7 17 NA TROPICAL STORM 84 64 51 56 53 57 NA HURRICANE 14 33 46 36 37 20 NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 14 30 38 29 27 17 NA HUR CAT 2 X 3 7 5 7 3 NA HUR CAT 3 X X 2 2 2 1 NA HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X NA HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 55KT 60KT 65KT 65KT 65KT 55KT NA II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 27(32) X(32) X(32) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 54(54) 19(73) X(73) X(73) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) 16(16) 14(30) X(30) X(30) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 63(63) 5(68) X(68) X(68) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) 28(28) 6(34) X(34) X(34) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 29(29) 5(34) X(34) X(34) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 14(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 21(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BERMUDA 34 54 X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) $$ FORECASTER PASCH