000 FONT12 KNHC 070853 PWSAT2 HURRICANE PALOMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008 0900 UTC FRI NOV 07 2008 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PALOMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED X X X X 4 15 35 TROP DEPRESSION X X X 1 16 26 29 TROPICAL STORM 4 2 6 18 51 46 32 HURRICANE 96 98 94 81 29 13 4 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 65 19 19 34 22 10 3 HUR CAT 2 27 41 29 25 4 2 1 HUR CAT 3 4 33 37 18 2 1 X HUR CAT 4 1 4 9 4 X X X HUR CAT 5 X 1 1 1 X X X - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 80KT 95KT 100KT 90KT 60KT 45KT 30KT II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) X(10) MIAMI FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 5(11) 1(12) 1(13) MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) X(10) MARCO ISLAND 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) GRAND BAHAMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 14(18) 4(22) X(22) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ANDROS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 18(29) 4(33) 1(34) ANDROS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 1(12) X(12) ANDROS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 22(31) 7(38) 2(40) GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 3(15) X(15) GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 10(30) 1(31) SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) 1(11) SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 7(22) 2(24) MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) 1(12) GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HAVANA 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) 3(13) X(13) 1(14) HAVANA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) HAVANA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ISLE OF PINES 34 1 3( 4) 8(12) 6(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20) ISLE OF PINES 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ISLE OF PINES 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CIENFUEGOS 34 1 5( 6) 21(27) 13(40) 6(46) 1(47) X(47) CIENFUEGOS 50 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 8(17) 4(21) X(21) X(21) CIENFUEGOS 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) CAMAGUEY 34 X 2( 2) 21(23) 23(46) 15(61) 1(62) 1(63) CAMAGUEY 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 12(18) 12(30) X(30) X(30) CAMAGUEY 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 7(15) X(15) X(15) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 14(22) 3(25) 1(26) GUANTANAMO BAY 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) GUANTANAMO BAY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GRAND CAYMAN 34 59 28(87) 3(90) 1(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) GRAND CAYMAN 50 20 41(61) 6(67) X(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68) GRAND CAYMAN 64 12 38(50) 7(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) MONTEGO BAY 34 1 4( 5) 12(17) 10(27) 5(32) X(32) 1(33) MONTEGO BAY 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) MONTEGO BAY 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) KINGSTON 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 5(11) 6(17) X(17) 1(18) KINGSTON 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) KINGSTON 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) LES CAYES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN